Alcantara has battled inconsistency this season, mixing a multi-start gem with bouts of hittability. Home form has been notably better, limiting home runs (0.8 HR/9) compared to the road (1.4 HR/9). His history with St. Louis includes varied results, but his upside remains elite when he keeps the ball in the park and commands the strike zone, making a Mi-aligned win and 4+ strikeout prop a plausible path in this matchup.

Alcantara’s road form has drifted this year, with a high ERA in recent away starts; his presence is a hurdle for Boston’s offense, particularly when the Marlins’ bullpen is fresh after a rest day. The dynamic shapes strategic bets around underdog runs and late-inning leverage, especially if Miami rides Alcantara to keep it tight early.

Alcantara anchors Miami’s rotation and is tasked with calming a stumble-laden stretch on the road. His elite spin and control give him upside in road starts, though his 6.55 ERA on the season speaks to inconsistent results lately. Opponents should expect a heavy mix of fastballs and breaking balls designed to generate soft contact and swing-and-miss when sequences align. A rebound is plausible if he keeps his pitch mix unpredictable and commands the zone late.

Sandy Alcantara is an intriguing trade candidate. If he can demonstrate recovery from elbow surgery, he could attract multiple suitors. His potential club option for 2027 only adds to his appeal for teams seeking a hard-throwing ace.

Sandy Alcantara struggled against the Astros, giving up six runs over seven innings. His performance raises concerns about consistency as Miami looks to make a playoff push.